Lehman, Tribune, Fisher Island, Quigley, AAI: Bankruptcy - Businessweek

(This report contains items about companies both in bankruptcy and not in bankruptcy. Adds Fisher Island and Quigley in Updates, Aryx in Filing Possible and Shearer’s in Downgrade.)

March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The business of trading claims against bankrupt companies will virtually vanish if Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. confirms a Chapter 11 plan this year.

Lehman and its brokerage unit were responsible for almost $38.7 billion in traded claims during the past year, according to data compiled from court records by SecondMarket Inc. The companies in second and third places each had traded claims amounting to 2 percent of Lehman’s total.

Those companies, old General Motors Corp. and Mesa Air Group Inc., had claim trades of less than $800 million apiece in the period, according to New York-based SecondMarket, which describes itself as the largest secondary market for illiquid assets.

In the past few months, the trend has been toward larger dollar amounts and fewer trades, not surprising given the declining numbers of major Chapter 11 filings.

In February, $3.47 billion of claims changed hands in 524 transfers, compared with $2.55 billion in face amount on 636 trades in January. Lehman’s $2.72 billion in deals accounted for 78 percent of February’s total. Mesa followed with $551 million in face amount.

The number of reported trades in February was the fewest since June 2009, SecondMarket said. The 45 companies with traded claims were the fewest in two years.

korea - Fisher Capital Management: Market Performance

Stocks closed lower in October for the first time in seven months, as investors questioned whether the huge rally off the March lows had exceeded the economy’s ability to generate growth in output and profits.

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - Stocks closed lower in October for the first time in seven months, as investors questioned whether the huge rally off the March lows had exceeded the economy’s ability to generate growth in output and profits.

Indeed, equities capped off a volatile month (the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced triple-digit moves in ten trading sessions!) with a volatile week, as the S&P 500 Index experienced its worst five-day span since early July.

For the month, the DJIA eked out a fractional gain, while all the other major equity market indices suffered losses. Small cap stocks, which had been among the performance leaders of the seven-month rally, experienced the worst hit, with the Russell 2000® Index falling by almost 7%. In another sign that the market may be growing skeptical of the “higher risk, higher reward” strategy, the NASDAQ Composite Index, dominated by technology holdings, declined 3.6% for the month.

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - Yet perhaps emblematic of the struggles experienced in the markets recently, growth stocks outperformed value in October, contradicting the idea that the pursuit of “risk” had become out of favor over the past several weeks. Moreover, the weakness in U.S. markets failed to extend beyond our borders last month, as developedmarkets (MSCI EAFE) experienced just a fractional loss, while the emerging markets (MSCI EM) managed to rise by up to 1%, adding to their impressive year-to-date (YTD) returns.

From a sector perspective, two of the three leading performers off the March lows (financials and materials) declined by the largest amounts in October, as investors appeared to lock in gains of approximately 150% for the financials sector and 75% for the materials sector. Despite the weakness in the technologyladen NASDAQ Composite last month, the higher-quality and larger-cap tech names comprising the S&P 500 Index’s information technology sector simply dropped fractionally. Rising oil prices pushed the energy sector higher by 3%, and the “defensive trade” was still evident within the consumer staples sector, which held on for a 1% gain.

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - In other asset classes, fixed-income was mixed last month. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note backed up by seven basis points, as traders likely moved funds elsewhere as the Federal Reserve concluded its $300 billion Treasury purchase program. The dollar continued to weaken, hovering near 14-month lows, which helped drive up the prices for oil, gold, and most commodities. 

Fisher Capital Management Reports: International Equities

The third quarter saw double-digit returns for the world¹s equity markets. U.S. large-cap stocks, as measured by the Russell 1000 Index, rose 16.07%, bringing that index’s year-to-date return to 21.08%. Mid-cap stocks were the best performers overall, with the Russell Mid-Cap Index gaining 20.62% for the third quarter and 32.63% for the year. Value stocks bounced back during the quarter, outperforming growth stocks across the full range of market capitalizations. Small-cap value stocks were the best performers for the quarter but still lagged their small growth counterparts by almost 13 percentage points for the year.

International Equities: Fisher Capital management, Korea reports: International equities posted double-digit gains for the third quarter as well. The MSCI EAFE IMI Index gained 19.82% in the third quarter, with local-currency average market returns of 15.10% boosted by the weak performance of the U.S. dollar.

Emerging markets produced another strong quarter, but one that was more in line with developed market returns than was the case during the second quarter of 2009, as the MSCI Emerging Market IMI Index rose 21.30% for the third quarter. Both developed and emerging markets were driven higher by the strong performance of European equity markets, while Asian markets, particularly in Japan, lagged.

Fisher Capital Management Outlook: At the end of the quarter, markets reacted negatively to mixed economic news, signaling a potential correction off the recent highs. The strong rally since the market’s low of March 9, 2009 has left observers wondering whether rapidly-rising stock valuations have become prematurely rich and earnings expectations somewhat stretched.

While we are cautious about the performance of the market in the short term, we continue to expect a slower, but more robust and sustained, “smile-shaped” economic recovery in the long run.

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Fisher Capital Management Scam Prevention News: S Korea, China Bust Phone Scam Ring Targeting S Korea

SEOUL, April 24 (Bernama) — Chinese prosecutors have arrested 23 suspects over phone fraud on South Koreans, Seoul’s prosecutors said Sunday, the first bust on a scam ring after the two neighbouring countries agreed to thwart voice phishing scams that have caused huge financial damage in South Korea in recent years.

Voice phishing involves random phone calls to dupe victims to siphon their bank accounts, Yonhap News Agency reported.

Callers, growingly traced to networks in China, masquerade as police or bank officials, or sometimes demand ransom claiming they are holding a family member hostage.

The damage from phone fraud has reached over 200 billion won (US$185 million) over the last three years, according to South Korean prosecution data.

More than 1,500 suspects of the scams are believed to have fled to China during the past five years.

A Chinese ringleader and 22 other scammers allegedly swindled several billion won from South Koreans by impersonating officials of financial institutions and fooling them into depositing their money at certain bank accounts.

The Chinese prosecutors are also chasing other members of the busted phone scam ring that allegedly has about 100 members, according to Seoul’s prosecutors.

The bust came three months after South Korean Prosecutor General Kim Joon-gyu and Meng Jianzu, China’s public security minister, agreed to cooperate in rooting out voice phishing scams.

South Korean prosecutors said they can soon extradite 15 separate suspects from China over similar scams that caused some 150 billion won ($138 million) in damages from 20,000 victims. The prosecutors did not give any specific time frame.

Since when does Fisher Capital Management been around? (www.fisher- capital.com)?

Fisher Capital is a family-run private equity firm that was established in 1991 by Don Fisher and his son, Bill Fisher.

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• 1 month ago

Fisher Capital Management - Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2 -

Fisher Capital Management Eight and a half months after riding the Democratic Party of Japan’s (DPJ) historic lower house victory into office, Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama announced his resignation, having haphazardly frittered away a chest brimming with political capital. 

Major newspapers said that Hatoyama was resigning mainly for two reasons: his failure to keep his promise to relocate the functions of US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, Okinawa, out of Okinawa Prefecture, and a political funding scandal that included his mother’s provision of some ¥1.26 billion to him over years. 

Fisher Capital Management - Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2: Instead of deregulation and lower corporate taxes, he envisions increased employment and consumption through focused government spending in nursing, medicine and other social welfare fields. But some economists expressed doubts; they say there is no guarantee that the positive effect of government spending can steadily outpace the negative effects of tax hikes. 

Kan seems to be open to the idea of raising Japan’s consumption tax from its current level of 5%, though the approach of the upperhouse election on July and concerns over a political backlash suggest caution will be the government’s modus operandi. 

“Any rise in the consumption tax rate must be offset by lower levies on daily goods as well as refunds for low-income households”, he recently said. But he also hopes to reduce corporate taxes from the current 40% rate to around 25%, in line with other major countries. In the foreign exchange market, Kan has earned a reputation as a weak-yen advocate. “The business community says that a yen in the mid-90s against the dollar is appropriate, so it would be better 
if it weakens a bit further”, he said in January, shortly after becoming finance minister. 

Fisher Capital Management - Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2: Market observers believe that Kan still supports a weaker yen and that the Japanese currency could depreciate against the US dollar. Regarding monetary policy, Kan is generally considered an advocate of inflation-targeting and quantitative easing. As finance minister, he has put some political pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to fight deflation more aggressively, he nudged the BOJ to double a special bank lending program introduced in December. The bond market believes Kan is a wise choice to manage the sustainability of Japan’s government debt. 

The DPJ had promised to unveil a long-term plan to improve public finances. However, “postponement is likely because of the current political churn, and any real ‘meat’ in the plan will probably not be disclosed until after the Upper House election” … says Flemming Nielsen, senior analyst at Danske research. 

Kan is a self-made man, ascending into politics after years toiling in citizen movements and he has a reputation as a quick learner and a pragmatic politician, with sharp elbows and an aversion to any criticism. 

The country he now leads is facing dire long-term problems that beg for strong leadership, including a staggering level of public debt, a stagnant economy, and an ageing population. He has a few weeks to fix the impression left by nine months of incompetent DPJ governance. 

If he fails, the party will be routed in the elections for the Diet’s upper house. 

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Fisher Capital Management Investment Solutions: Bin Laden’s Death to Boost Pakistan Economy, Stocks: Strategist

The killing of Osama bin Laden is a positive event for Pakistan’s economy and stock market, despite doubts about whether the country’s military was complicit in hiding the Al Qaeda leader, according to a strategist.

Sajjad Hussain | Getty Images

Mark Matthews, equity strategist at Macquarie, said the positive comments from top U.S. officials including Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Pakistan’s role against terrorism would eventually lead to the release of much-delayed financial aid for the country. That, in turn, would help the government lower its fiscal deficit and boost the economy.

“For about 5-6 months now, the American’s and coalition money have not been released into Pakistan. And Pakistan has a very wide fiscal deficit. It’s 6.1 percent of GDP and it is the major issue overhanging their stock market,” Matthews added.

The aid package worth $7.5 billion over 5 years has been promoted by Democrat Senator John Kerry and Republican Senator Dick Lugar. But it’s been in limbo because of U.S. concerns about corruption in Pakistan.

Once, that’s resolved, Matthews expects the stock market to benefit. “There are lots of gems in that country. There are probably more gems there, stock-wise, than any other country in Asia,” Matthews told CNBC’s Bernie Lo.

The Karachi stock index rallied late last year along with other emerging markets, but so far this year it has dropped 6 percent because of rising fuel prices and a growing budget deficit. According to Macquarie, Karachi’s stock index not only offers value, but also many well-run companies.

Fisher Capital Management: Fisher Capital Management South Korea, Brazil’s Economy: 1st Quarter

isher Capital Management Seoul Korea, Brazil’s Economy - The brief recession of 2009 has given way to a robust increase in consumer demandand recovery in investment in Brazil in 2010. The economy is likely to grow 5.5%

this year. GDP grew 2% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2009 and fell 0.2%

for the whole of 2009 compared with 2008.

Fisher Capital Management South Korea Investing: - The central bank did not raise its target overnight interest rate, the so-called Selic rate, unchanged leaving it at 8.75% a year. This was expected as the presidential

Election is nearing. The rate fell from 13.75% to 8.75% between December 2008

and July 2009. By the year-end, the rate is expected to rise by 250 basis points to

Curb inflation.

Even though the US and Brazil are not as open an economy as one would believe.

Trade accounts for approximately 14% for both the countries. US cotton subsidies had been a bone of contention for the two countries. The US was accused of excessive cotton subsidies by Brazil. After eight years of litigation at the World Trade Organization Brazil has won the case and Brazil’s move to raise tariffs on

a wide range of American goods has a potential of starting a new front in the trade

war with the US over cotton subsidies. Overall, the issue is still not blown out of

proportion as the two countries are engaged on other fronts.

Fisher Capital Management Korea, Brazil’s Economy: 1st Quarter Investment - Brazil’s government announced a R$958.9bn programme of investments in infrastructure for 2011 to 2014. The program is known as the PAC 2 … the

Portuguese acronym for accelerated growth programme, part two … to increase

Brazil’s investment rate and its potential for economic growth during the period

of the next government, which begins on January 1 2011.

Fisher Capital Management South Korea, Investment News: Henrique Meirelles who provided monetary stability to Brazil is all set to stand for election either as a Vice President or a senator. President Lula may choose him to

run for the Vice President office to send a message that macroeconomic stability

will be maintained under Ms Rousseff, presidential nominee of Mr. Lula’s party in the October election.

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As a full service company Fisher Capital provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

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